Lauri Elliott

Media is such a major issue for Africa at this time.  There is a general perception that western media is doing a disservice to the image of Africa.  I agree and disagree.

I agree that western media has painted a particular view of Africa as needy, poor, corrupt, and in conflict historically.  But there are also those who do Africa a good service.

But to me this argument is no longer the primary relevant issue.  Now with the technology tools and the connected society, everyone is media.  That is called citizen media.  Individuals, groups, and organizations need to use this shift to make media that is appropriate for Africa.

The new configurations of media will be infinite, but open.  This is what we have to focus on.  There are still people who need to work with in traditional media who can help change what is being reported and how.  But most of us, whether professional media or public media don’t have to what for things to change, we can make the change.

I had a brief opportunity to share these thoughts and others at the Rwanda Convention 2010 (www.rwandaconvention.org) in Boston, Massachusetts on May 29, 2010.  And living  up to the potential in technology, I participated via videoconferencing from my home!

You can download my slide presentation – Evolving Media Presentation 2010 (37). 

Feel free to start up a conversation on this.

This is an article I wrote for Brainstorm Magazine of South Africa. It appeared in the December 2009/January 2010 issue.

The penetration of mobile phones and mobile data will serve as catalysts for a growing mobile gaming market in South Africa. The question is how well the industry will navigate these opportunities.

Globally, gaming is a hot market – from console, to PC, to online, to mobile. Pyramid Research’s recent report, Mobile Gaming in Emerging Markets, says that mobile gaming will grow at least 20 percent per year from 2009 to 2014 in the Africa and Middle East regions.

Jan Ten Sythoff, research manager for Pyramid Research, says that mobile phone and mobile data penetration serve as catalysts for this market. While Africa has good mobile phone penetration, there are differences between consumers in mature markets like the United States and those in emerging markets like Africa.

Says Matt Benic, a developer with I-Imagine: “While we have high mobile phone penetration, our potential consumers in South Africa typically have low levels of disposable income (also typical of the rest of Africa).”

This means handsets used by consumers are lower-end devices, and the cost of games needs to be lower than in developed markets. In addition, consumers would not necessarily have previous experience with other gaming platforms like consoles and PCs. Says Danny Day, owner of QCF Design: “The first provider that offers a truly engaging, massively multi-player, micro-transaction-enabled game on phones is going to win big.”

Benic says there is also huge opportunity with sports, like soccer, and SMS-based games in South Africa. A “taxi”-driving game might be an appealing concept in South Africa too. This is tapping into what consumers know and feel comfortable with.

Sythoff says the challenges facing emerging markets include game cost, affordable handsets and piracy.

Benic mentions that the misperception that game development is inexpensive is a challenge in the local industry. Companies that would pay to have games developed for advertising and promotional purposes are often shocked when quoted a price.

Furthermore, according to Benic, the lack of sufficient numbers of skilled developers is slowing down the mobile game development industry. And then there is the ongoing issue of the cost of internet access. There are many free and inexpensive tools online to support mobile game development but the data usage expense can be prohibitive for small firms.

Challenges impact the consumer too, says Day. “Poor visibility, commodity-focused instead of product-focused marketing, shoddy after-sales support and lack of penetration by local mobile developers means…potential players have to wade through sheets and sheets of poorly advertised games.” In addition, the games are not localised to suit consumers.

Challenges notwithstanding, Sythoff shares several business models with the potential to succeed in African markets. First, there is gaming for advertising, or adver-gaming: players are allowed to download games for free, but the games contain advertisements. The vendor and developer generate revenue by selling advertising space.

A second potential business model allows consumers to play games for free until they reach a certain level, after which they must pay. This is a good way of getting consumers hooked on a game, providing motivation for them to pay to continue.

In some instances, a game developer will work with a data provider to provide games. Both share the revenues while keeping the price of games lower. Day says QCF Design is looking into another business model – subscriptions.

No matter which business model is employed though, says Benic, a game has to make it the first month it is released.

Sythoff says there are potential spinoffs in digital content and educational games, while Day says his firm “has had some success with mobile-based learning games”.

Sythoff points out that new mobile game developers need to address several issues. First, they have to find channels to reach potential consumers. This will normally result in partnerships with mobile phone operators or aggregators. Second, developers need to consider how they will bill the end-user.

Third, games should be localised to match language and culture.

Unlike the iPhone Appstore, which shook the US mobile game industry by allowing new and more agile mobile developers to enter the market, local developers find it difficult to enter the market. Day says “commissioned game development is currently more lucrative”.

Up, up and away

As for the future, Day provides several insights. “New studios are applying lessons learned from digital distribution games on consoles and PCs to the mobile space. These are studios and products that will change the mobile gaming sector in South Africa.”

Also, says Day: “Watch content creators that produce content for local consumers, as well as the Indian mobile game development industry… (it) will inform developers here.”

Finally, Day says to track MXIT.

“MXIT is a heavyweight in the industry. It’s one to watch for future growth in the mobile game sector, especially if it acts as an aggregator for quality local content.”

The sector will also be tamed. “New gambling control laws and changes to premium cost services should help reign in the `Wild West’ nature of many mobile businesses,” according to Day. This will reduce exploitation of consumers.

Overall, two possible scenarios will develop in South Africa’s mobile game sector. Mobile games will be overtaken by flash- or browser-based games as phones evolve, if the mobile game industry does not respond on time. Or, the industry will shift from its current business models to more customer-focused models, which focus on alternative revenue streams.

Sythoff says the mobile game sector is complex. Navigating this complexity successfully is a key enabler for firms wanting to enter this space. Success will come to firms like Apple, which are able to deconstruct the complexity and tap into the potential of the sector. With the potential revenue stream and under-tapped market, it’s definitely a sector to consider.

This article is one in a series about ICT in different sectors for Brainstorm Magazine of South Africa.  It was co-authored with Hilton Tarrant.

The mining sector has been slow in its uptake of technology, but the global economic crisis and long-term issues are serving as catalysts for adoption.

The outlook for the mining sector has radically changed due to the global economic crisis. This boom and bust cycle has left many mining companies considering ways to manage operating costs in order to remain economically viable. But this is not the only challenge the sector faces, according to Deloitte’s report, Tackling Trends 2009: The Top 10 Global Mining Issues. In the long run, the sector must find ways to remain sustainable amid the sea of legal, social, economic and environmental issues.

These challenges actually present opportunities for the ICT sector because technology can manage complex systems, streamline processes, reduce costs, and improve efficiency and productivity. Consider enterprise resource planning (ERP) software, which coordinates the entire mining value chain, from locating to divesting minerals. Think of radio-frequency identification (RFID) and global positioning system (GPS) technologies, which track the movement of minerals and equipment.

There are also examples of technology specific to the mining sector. The oil sector is demonstrating the potential of ultra-deep water drilling technology, which drills and extracts oil from greater water depths.

The technology is creating and extending market opportunities to the industry by accessing previously unreachable deposits. For example, new oil operations were recently announced off the coasts of Ghana and Sierre Leone.

Dr Greg Baiden, director of Penguin ASI and a global expert on automation, says: “Automation in the mining industry will follow similar trends to those in the manufacturing industry.”

It starts with a person using an automated machine to handle multiple tasks and eventually evolves to artificially intelligent, autonomous machines. Baiden says the future includes intelligent machines that can heal themselves.

For now though, automation has not reached critical mass in the sector. Large mining companies like Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton are considered early adopters. Teleoperations, or telerobotics, is the operation of a machine at a distance.

Penguin ASI’s wireless technology, which communicates with robotic equipment under water, gives a glimpse of the potential of telerobotics in solving some of the mining sector’s sustainability issues. This wireless technology will enable mining companies to extend the life of their mining operations on land. Imagine flooding mines with water to double their mining depth, and using telerobotics equipment to run the operations.

One natural result of using better technology and innovation is cost reduction in the mining value chain. This will eventually serve the economic development of Africa well. As the cost of mining decreases, it allows smaller mining firms to establish themselves.

The business opportunities for ICT providers in the mining sector can be found in the corporate, technical and value chain systems. Historically, ICT providers focus on mining as a niche. However, as enabling technologies provide broader benefit to the sector and new mining entities arise, there are increased opportunities for the ICT sector.

Mining of Data

Also, the mining sector faces serious challenges to its long-term sustainability. ICT firms, which identify gaps in the value chain and create solutions that close the gaps, leverage the value chain and contribute to sustainability, will carve their own space.

While there is undeniably a lot of technology used in the underground oreextraction part of mining, more focus is currently being put on the processing side of productions.

MD of Softline Accpac, Jeremy Waterman, says that “inherently it’s a reasonably simple business”. With mining, “you’re putting a whole lot of resources in and you’re taking production out”.

But there has traditionally been a disconnect between production and what Waterman terms the “financial side of things”, particularly among smaller miners. This has been a cause of frustration within the industry, and a number of solutions now seek to marry the two elements.

This is a classic implementation of an enterprise resource planning (ERP) system, but up until recently, “marrying the elements” was simply absent.

“In the past it was tended to be done more on a kind of matchbox,” says Waterman. “You had a whole lot of costs and you had a lot of production and you subtracted one from the other and you made a profit.”

Nowadays it’s a lot more complicated. Waterman describes how workflow management systems can be used for control, and to “capture production data that’s coming back” into the system. The real difference is made by the layering business intelligence on top of these systems.

Ugan Maistry, business unit head of Mining & Manufacturing at EOH, agrees: “Over the years, there’s been this maturity in terms of process-control and automation systems to be able to execute. There is now maturity in business systems like ERP.”

But over the past few years, Maistry says there is a newfound maturity around the systems in between the parts. He calls it ‘mining execution systems’, and describes it as very similar to manufacturing execution systems.

He likens many of the processes in mining to inventory management. “Previously, people only knew what they had and what they produced if they actually stopped their operations and took stock.”

“Questions like, ‘Where is the actual material in their value chain?’” adds Maistry.

He says some customers have been spending considerable amounts of money in the last two or three years on exactly this: business intelligence systems, which he likens to “enterprise manufacturing intelligence”.

“But,” says Maistry, “what they haven’t explored is how to extract value out of that information.”

This is the next frontier. Now, “our customers need to mine the data, and I’m talking end-to-end,” says Maistry. “It’s about looking at information in context, not just in terms of volumes and quantities, but in costs as well.” Waterman takes it one step further: “We [South Africa] are trend-setters in mining as a whole.

“There’s been an explosion of midcap miners, and that is where we’re seeing the real growth.”

Aside from ERP and workflow management systems, the back office sees similar ICT trends to those in pretty much every industry. Working costs are being rationalised, with single vendor outsourcing one way of saving money.

Licensing rationalisation is being looked at, says Maistry, and providers like Microsoft and SAP are “coming to the party.”

This is a part of the ongoing series I write on ICT across sectors for ITWEB/Brainstorm Magazine South Africa.  This article is on manufacturing.  It was a collaborative piece with Hilton Tarrant who focused on South Africa while I focused on the African continent and global trends.  Enjoy!

Originally posted online at Brainstorm Magazine.

ICT is a key enabler for the manufacturing sector. It’s transforming the global manufacturing arena while opening opportunities in the African market.

Africa lags behind its global counterparts in industrial and manufacturing development. Even when comparing the percentage manufacturing contributes to the gross domestic product (GDP) in African countries to other developing countries, manufacturing contributes about ten percent in African countries and 21 percent in other developing countries.

In Africa, but outside South Africa, there are pockets of manufacturing success stories. The Ethiopian leather industry has made a name for itself in global niche markets. Robert Parker, group VP of research for IDC Manufacturing Insights, says the one significant manufacturing segment in Africa is the remanufacturing of computer and electronics.

However, the picture is getting brighter. Globalisation, innovation and ICT are transforming many sectors to anywhere, anytime platforms. In the manufacturing sector, the mantra is “design anywhere, make anywhere, sell anywhere,” says Parker.

One shift is product manufacturing, separated into tasks and spread across manufacturing facilities. This is seen as a huge opportunity for new, smaller manufacturing entrants in low income countries, including Africa, according to the Industrial Development Report 2009 by the United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO).

Parker speaks of a similar shift from mass to micro to pod manufacturing. Historically, manufacturers built one facility to serve the world. With pod manufacturing, manufacturers can download designs and methods from anywhere to localised manufacturing equipment to serve the local economy.

Pod manufacturing has reduced cost tremendously and increased flexibility. For example, there is equipment to manufacture wine, starting at $3 500.

Parker also says that local African manufacturers will be able to “bring more diversified and custom products to their local consumers”. For example, Digiskin allows customers to go online to design skins to cover gadgets, including cellphones.  A company can purchase a production machine to provide some of these skins locally to customers.

For a long-term opportunity, Parker says that African governments need to leverage access to their abundant resources and require firms to develop manufacturing and processing facilities locally alongside extraction operations. In some instances, deposits in Africa may account for 80 to 90 percent of global deposits of certain precious minerals or metals. They need to play the leverage game like China. China recently limited the export of rare metals to boost the price. African governments can use the same principle in a different way.

In every aspect, ICT is embedded in the manufacturing value chain from infrastructure to intelligent manufacturing. Without sufficient broadband infrastructure, approaches like pod manufacturing might not be possible.

Parker also sees another opportunity with the pervasive wireless infrastructure in Africa, allowing African firms to tap into and manage the full manufacturing value chain almost anywhere with technology like remote sensing and radio-frequency identification (RFID).

While there may only be pockets of manufacturing on the continent, the global manufacturing shift opens new, even immediate, opportunities for ICT firms looking for new pastures, e.g. industrial clusters in Uganda and Tanzania, as they develop. It will be important for ICT firms to continually scan the environment to take advantage of these emerging opportunities.

Manufacturing convergence

Further south, leveraging information, communication, control and power is helping South African manufacturers innovate and compete.  Manufacturers have two options during the global economic downturn: cut back and try to weather the storm, or take the opportunity to be more innovative and aggressive. However, because South African factories struggle to manufacture products at the same cost as is possible elsewhere in the world, and due to a strong currency, local manufacturing concerns face these two options all the time.

Rockwell Automation believes that even though convergence has become a cliché over the past decade, “today the combination of technology maturity and economic necessity has made manufacturing convergence a manufacturing reality”. Manufacturing convergence sees the merging of functions and systems that have been separate. The theory is that with people, processes and technology working together, manufacturers can perform better.

Convergence within manufacturing leverages information, communication, control and power.  It’s no use simply having systems and machines recording data. Information must be in a manageable form: the new goal is presenting information in context.

Sources of information can be “streamlined to allow configuration, visualisation, maintenance and optimisation of manufacturing processes and plant assets,” Rockwell says.

Immense value is created when IT and manufacturing departments are able to share information seamlessly and securely, while running multiple applications over the same network. An enterprise manufacturing approach that is particularly suited to larger distributed companies envisions the enterprise as a “virtual manufacturing network”.

EOH, during an implementation at Coca-Cola’s greenfields Bloemfontein plant, was able to capitalise on available technologies while the rest of the group used mostly manual or semi-automatic systems. In time, improvements to its other factories will mean that they can join the network across the Coca-Cola SABCO enterprise.

The trend nowadays sees standard, unmodified Ethernet being adopted broadly across the plant and enterprise for data collection and real-time control. Add to this newer functionality such as voice, video and mobility, which are beginning to appear in the plant environment.

However, despite these advances, manufacturing convergence is a complex environment and cannot be delivered by a single supplier. Locally, system integrators like Bytes and EOH implement solutions from companies as varied as Cisco, Microsoft, SAP, Wonderware and Dassault Systems.

Beyond this, original equipment manufacturers are embracing new so-called “smart” service business models enabled through embedded software, wireless connectivity and online services.  This shift has significant implications for manufacturers.

Lifecycles of products are becoming ever shorter as releases will begin to ship in “real-time” with software devices delivered to products over networks when needed. Oracle’s manufacturing VP, Manish Modi, reckons it’s hard to accurately predict what manufacturing operations will look like five years from now, but “factors we experience today are likely to have a residual effect on the supply chains of tomorrow.”

Modi says that many of the top manufacturers will have leading “service-oriented architecture suites in place to enable supply chain evolution as well as needed flexibility to quickly respond to changing markets and inevitable shifts in buying patterns”.

He also suggests that most manufacturing systems will support Web or Enterprise 2.0. “The future adoption of tools like wikis, blogs and mash-ups to create store, and collaborate on information by skilled manufacturing users should not come as a surprise. Touch screens and sophisticated wireless devices should be a common part of leading factory floors.”

But, the biggest problem in converged manufacturing is not the availability or implementation of technology: it’s changing the mindset of the people themselves.

Most people seem to be worried by the global economic crisis. The forecast for job growth is slow. But in actuality, this is a paradigm shift. Creating an opportunity for massive number of entrepreneurs to arise. You and I, as entrepreneurs, are the innovators and problem solvers which will make the difference. Everyone has the potential to be an entrepreneur. Its up to you to decide whether or not you will take the journey.

This seminar is a 1.5-hour overview for our workshop series by the same name. The focus of the series is to get you from the “idea” of doing business to “implement” a business idea.  The topics covered in this seminar are:

• Unique Competitive Space
• Business Opportunity Identification and Prioritization
• Positive Cash-Flow Business Model and Implementation

The full series involves an additional four workshops, which walk you through the entire process of taking a business idea to implementation.  At the end, you will have a plan to start your new business or new plan for an existing business immediately!  When you are ready for the additional workshops, just contact me at info@conceptualee.com.

The seminar is available for online and mobile platforms as video or audio below.  You will also find links for the seminar slides and additional resources below.

Hold on for the ride!

Seminar Video (MP4)

Seminar Audio (MP3)

Seminar Slides (PDF)

P.S.  You can post comments and questions about the seminar if you register on the site.

Just as there is an evolving shift within our society from operating from the physical to mental to spiritual, we will see the same in the economic sphere.  To start, Adam Smith in the “Wealth of Nations” said that the determinants of economic growth, or activity, were the factors of production – natural resources, labor and capital.  Here, there is no recognition of the impact of the mind and spirit on production leading to economic activity, or growth.

Knowledge has been considered a part of the process of economic growth, even by Adam Smith.  However, it has not been until the past 50 or so years that economic theory has focused on knowledge as a factor of production.  Paul Romer, a leading economist in the “New Growth Theory,” stresses that ideas, new and better, transformed into a change in technology contribute to economic growth like natural resources, labor and capital.

The original factors of production are considered scarce, or limited, which means that economic growth is limited at some point.  On other hand, ideas (innovative knowledge), is unlimited.  Human beings can generate unlimited new ideas.  In fact, we are designed in the image of God, so as He is the Creator, we are creators.  The key is to transform these ideas into technological change.  The world calls this the process of innovation.  We, as Christians, call this bringing heaven to earth.

So, knowledge as new and better ideas transformed into technological change leads to economic growth. The result – a world filled with unlimited economic growth potential because our ability to create new and better ideas is unlimited.  This changes our mental model from scarcity to abundance, want to wealth.  The question becomes how do we develop an economic system based on this premise?  This is the challenge of today.

Let’s tie this to the evolving societal shift in our primary mode of operation – physical to mental to spiritual.  We can see as knowledge has become more significant in the mix of economic growth, that organizations see unique intelligence, innovation, etc. key to their competitive advance.  It’s not that the importance of technological change due to innovation has not been recognized.  We understand its contribution to the Industrial Revolution, e.g., the steam engine.  However, the drive in making it prime in positioning a company continues to grow.  The intellect, or mental sphere, is now a central mode of operation in our economic systems.  We even have a phrase coining its importance, the “knowledge economy.”

Let’s take another look at knowledge.  There is knowledge derived from interacting with our physical environment, pulled from our intellect and emerged from our spirits.  Today, we focus on knowledge pulled from our intellect.  In the Vision Society, it will be knowledge emerging for our spirits.

In the Vision Society, we see the best source of knowledge coming from the spirit not the intellect.  We call this revelation knowledge. However, revelation knowledge shapes the development of our intellectual knowledge.  We still learn within and from our interaction with the physical environment and intellectual exercises, but the spirit serves as the navigation system.

As Christians, we understand that revelation knowledge comes from God depositing his knowledge in our human spirits through the Holy Spirit.  Our personal relationship with Jesus Christ is the channel. 

It will be revelation and relationship, which serves as anchors in the new economy.  Revelation leading the process of innovation, as well as the markets operating through relationships, which tie groups of people together closely or loosely.  We see these concepts evolving in areas in the science of networks, social networking, mass innovation, etc.

While we are still grappling with the picture of the new economy and how it will operate, there are many who have pieces of the ultimate picture.  Brett Johnson of The Institute is one of these visionaries.  In a Kingdom Economic Forum in Johannesburg, South Africa last year, he shared a comparison of characteristics between the old economy and the new economy.  The comparison is below.

Old Economy	New Economy
Self-reliance	Dependence on God
Logic	Obedience
Man, nature, self as source	God as source
Gaining, hoarding	Giving, flowing
Finite	Infinite
Greed, self serving	Serving greater good
Fear	Trust, generosity
Selling birthright	Persevering in long-term
Debt	Cash, capital, hard assets
Ownership	Stewardship
Protection	Freedom
Worry	Liberty
Running out	Running over
Storing	Flowing
Accumalting	Giving
Boosting myself	Blessing others
Temporal	Eternal
Scorns source (God)	Remembers source (God)
Elevation	Consecration
Meeting my needs	Serving God’s purpose
Mine to keep	God’s to direct
Control	Releasing
Postured to speak	Positioned to listen
Avarice deified	Avarice denied
Demanding	Grateful
Restlessness	Restful, calm
Striving	Surrender
Hurry, hustle	Rest
Wisdom of man	Wisdom of God
Insatiable	Contented
Calculation	Revelation
Immediate gratification	Delayed gratification
Personal legacy	God’s glory
Do as I please	Accountability
Natural	Supernatural
Lack	Abundance
Need	Wholeness
Own effort	Favor

Published in “Kingdom Economics,” (c) The Institute for Innovation, Integration & Impact, Inc. 2009, by Brett Johnson

Put in the Christian context, Brett compared the evolution from the old economy to the new economy as the Israelites moving from Egypt to the Wilderness to the Promised Land.

As the Vision Society becomes more prominent and its impact on the new economy evolves, we also need to consider the concept and purpose of wealth and money.  Check out my initial thoughts on the role of money in my blog article entitled, “Is Money the Answer to Fuel a New Economic Order?“